Lab / 002 Working model ● live

Watch the world
get thirstier.

A toy model of the planet's daily appetite for cognition — and what it costs in the older utilities to feed it. Drag the year. Watch the curves bend.

Year / Index

2036

20242030203620422050

Tokens consumed per person · per day

—

Doubling Period

14 mo

How quickly per-person token consumption doubles. Base case sits between today's training-compute curve and current inference scaling.

Readout / Year-On-Year

Tokens / person / day —

Global daily tokens —

Vs. today —↑

Substrate utilization —

What that draws from the older utilities.

Pulled from year 2036

Power

—TWh / yr

—

Annual electricity drawn just to feed inference and training pipelines.

Water

—km³ / yr

—

Cooling water cycled through campuses and evaporative loops.

Fiber

—Pbps

—

Aggregate east-west and edge bandwidth to keep inference local enough.

Land

—km² built

—

Hyperscale floor space for compute, transformers, and cooling plant.

Per Capita Year 2036

Your personal supply.

The substrate is metered the way every old utility was metered — a slow trickle no one noticed, until everyone needed it.

Tokens / day

—

≈ — novels of thinking

Watts / continuous

—W

≈ — a fridge always on

Liters water / day

—L

≈ — a shower per person, every day

Cost / month (USD)

$—

trending ↓ per token

Watch the worldget thirstier.

What that draws from the older utilities.

Your personal supply.

If even the conservative curves are right,the world will need a substrate.

Watch the world
get thirstier.

If even the conservative curves are right,
the world will need a substrate.